medium disasterUNVERIFIED
Marshall Islands disturbance may become tropical depression, track uncertain
📍 Marshall Islands, MH·🕐 2d ago·1 outlet
A tropical disturbance over the northern Marshall Islands is likely to become a tropical depression, but forecasters say it is too early to determine whether it will eventually pose a threat to the Marianas.
How sure are we
1 outlet
Only one outlet so far: treat it as unconfirmed. That doesn’t make it false; it may be new, or an exclusive.
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Reliability
Reliability ScoreHigh
77%Independent outlets1
Statusnot yet verified
AI checknone yet
Community flags0
Score bands
Very high80–100%
A highly rated outlet, or several independent outletsHigh60–79%
One well-rated outlet so farModerate40–59%
A lower-rated or state-run outlet, or one report of something seriousLow20–39%
A low-rated outlet on a serious or sensitive storyVery low0–19%
Treat it as unconfirmedWhat moves the score
◎
Outlet ratingThe outlet’s rating in WorldPulse’s list of sources starts the score
⇄
Independent outletsEach further outlet that reports the story closes 40% of the gap to 98%
±
Report detailsA few points either way: a summary and a place add a little; state-run outlets on conflict, politics or security, and single reports marked high or critical, lose some
Not in the score: AI checks and reader flags. Verified is separate: two or more independent outlets and a score of at least 65%.
High · How we score this
Risk Score
medium risk