Commodity watch · updated Nov 13, 7:44 AM EST
Uzbekistan: commodities
For every crop USDA forecasts and every country that matters for it: USDA's crop outlook, the weather forecast over the main growing regions at the crop's stage, trade, prices and hedge funds' bets, and how much our sources are saying about it. A plain score from 0 to 100 says how much the supply looks at risk, and when the risk is real but the news is quiet, the watch raises a flag. Now: 800 cards for 62 commodities, 5 flagged.
Cherries
0· no cut expectedCottonseed oil
0· no cut expectedCottonseed meal
0· no cut expectedCottonseed
0· no cut expectedCotton
0· no cut expectedPeaches and nectarines
0· no cut expectedBought from the US
USDA's weekly export sales, the week to October 29, 2026: new sales less cancellations, and this marketing year's shipments.
| Commodity | This week | Shipped this year |
|---|---|---|
| beef | 0 t | 16 ta year earlier 12 |
Who buys its commodities
Its biggest commodity exports (farm, energy, metals) in 2024 and their main buyers, by value (CEPII BACI, January 2026 release, from UN trade statistics; Etalab Open Licence 2.0).
- Gold $9.7 billionSwitzerland 64%, United Kingdom 36%, Italy 0.4%, Singapore 0.3%
- Natural gas $740 millionChina 98%, Tajikistan 1.8%, Kyrgyzstan 0.1%
- Copper $600 millionChina 88%, India 8.5%, Saudi Arabia 1.7%, Turkey 1.2%
- Potash $506 millionBrazil 83%, China 2.9%, Indonesia 2.5%, Lithuania 2.1%
- Urea $221 millionAfghanistan 28%, Romania 13%, Tajikistan 11%, Lithuania 10%
- Table grapes $186 millionRussia 82%, Kazakhstan 8.2%, Kyrgyzstan 5.7%, Belarus 3.6%
- Silver $163 millionIndia 57%, United Kingdom 42%, Switzerland 0.8%, Fed. Rep. of Germany (...1990) 0%
- Iron ore $136 millionTurkey 100%, China 0%
- Zinc $129 millionRussia 57%, Turkey 27%, India 8.1%, China 1.8%
- Peaches and nectarines $97 millionRussia 83%, Kazakhstan 12%, Kyrgyzstan 5%, Belarus 0.2%
Where its commodities come from
Its biggest commodity imports in 2024 and where they come from, by value.
- Natural gas $1.6 billionRussia 55%, Turkmenistan 45%
- Sugar $650 millionBrazil 58%, Russia 28%, Kazakhstan 6.2%, Azerbaijan 2%
- Wheat $592 millionKazakhstan 99%, Russia 1%, Afghanistan 0%, Turkey 0%
- Crude oil $356 millionRussia 80%, Turkmenistan 14%, Kazakhstan 6.4%, Azerbaijan 0.1%
- Beef $354 millionBelarus 37%, India 26%, Kazakhstan 25%, Russia 4.1%
- Sunflower oil $278 millionKazakhstan 61%, Russia 39%, United States 0.1%, Tajikistan 0%
- Copper $190 millionSingapore 53%, Kazakhstan 35%, Kyrgyzstan 8.8%, Tajikistan 3.2%
- Aluminium $163 millionRussia 67%, Kazakhstan 23%, Azerbaijan 4.9%, Tajikistan 2.8%
- Soybean meal $154 millionRussia 63%, Latvia 18%, India 7.5%, Argentina 5.5%
- Chicken $84 millionTurkey 29%, Poland 20%, Russia 13%, Belarus 7.9%
Prices, October 2026
The World Bank's monthly averages in US dollars (the Pink Sheet, updated November 3), against the month before and a year before. Licensed CC BY 4.0.
| Commodity | Price | Month | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Energy | |||
| Crude oil, average | 108.5 $/bbl | +6.1% | +72.2% |
| Crude oil, Brent | 125 $/bbl | +7% | +93.2% |
| Crude oil, Dubai | 102.7 $/bbl | +10.1% | +59.7% |
| Crude oil, WTI | 97.7 $/bbl | +0.8% | +62.3% |
| Coal, Australian | 152.3 $/mt | +3.5% | +41.7% |
| Coal, South African | 100 $/mt | +1.8% | +9.2% |
| Natural gas, US | 2.96 $/mmbtu | +0.3% | −7.5% |
| Natural gas, Europe | 28.5 $/mmbtu | +12.1% | +161.7% |
| Liquefied natural gas, Japan | 16.59 $/mmbtu | +2% | +49.5% |
| Natural gas index | 182.7 2010=100 | +8.9% | +86.2% |
| Beverages | |||
| Cocoa | 5.75 $/kg | −2.9% | −3.4% |
| Coffee, Arabica | 7.4 $/kg | +1.9% | −16.9% |
| Coffee, Robusta | 3.63 $/kg | −1.6% | −23.4% |
| Tea, avg 3 auctions | 2.88 $/kg | +0.7% | −4.3% |
| Tea, Colombo | 3.75 $/kg | +0.5% | −4.8% |
| Tea, Kolkata | 2.55 $/kg | +0.8% | −10.8% |
| Tea, Mombasa | 2.33 $/kg | +1.3% | +4.5% |
| Food | |||
| Coconut oil | 2,029 $/mt | −2.4% | −20.3% |
| Groundnuts | 1,600 $/mt | +2.4% | +33.3% |
| Fish meal | 2,840 $/mt | −2.6% | +60.5% |
| Groundnut oil | 1,850 $/mt | −0.5% | +13.6% |
| Palm oil | 1,120 $/mt | −5.1% | +7.9% |
| Palm kernel oil | 2,287 $/mt | −2.9% | +0.6% |
| Soybeans | 515 $/mt | −1.7% | +27.5% |
| Soybean oil | 1,546 $/mt | −4.3% | +36.6% |
| Soybean meal | 453 $/mt | +1.3% | +27.2% |
| Rapeseed oil | 1,405 $/mt | −2.6% | +11.2% |
| Sunflower oil | 1,413 $/mt | +1.4% | +3.7% |
| Barley | 80.4 $/mtAugust 2020 | — | — |
| Maize | 226.5 $/mt | −5.5% | +14.3% |
| Sorghum | 189.5 $/mtAugust 2020 | — | — |
| Rice, Thai 5% | 489 $/mt | +1.5% | +37.4% |
| Rice, Thai 25% | 472 $/mt | +2.4% | +34.5% |
| Rice, Thai A.1 | 467.4 $/mt | −1.2% | +39.1% |
| Rice, Viet Namese 5% | 413.9 $/mt | −1.1% | +13.2% |
| Wheat, US SRW | 260.3 $/mt | −6.6% | +24.4% |
| Wheat, US HRW | 317 $/mt | −8.6% | +37.3% |
| Banana, Europe | 1.1 $/kg | −1.8% | −2.7% |
| Banana, US | 1.18 $/kg | +5.4% | +4.4% |
| Orange | 0.75 $/kg | −5.1% | −28.6% |
| Beef | 6.83 $/kg | −0.4% | −3.7% |
| Chicken | 1.84 $/kg | +1.7% | +7% |
| Lamb | 7.48 $/kg | +3% | +18.2% |
| Shrimps, Mexican | 8.6 $/kgOctober 2023 | — | — |
| Sugar, EU | 0.37 $/kg | −2.6% | −2.6% |
| Sugar, US | 0.92 $/kg | +8.2% | +19.5% |
| Sugar, world | 0.43 $/kg | +4.9% | +26.5% |
| Raw materials | |||
| Tobacco, US import u.v. | 6,775 $/mtJuly 2026 | — | — |
| Logs, Cameroon | 392.1 $/cubic meter | −2.7% | −3.7% |
| Logs, Malaysian | 188.5 $/cubic meter | −0.9% | −4.1% |
| Sawnwood, Cameroon | 636.8 $/cubic meter | −0.9% | −0.5% |
| Sawnwood, Malaysian | 724.3 $/cubic meter | −1% | −0.5% |
| Plywood | 345.8 cents/sheet | −0.9% | −4.1% |
| Cotton, A Index | 2 $/kg | −4.8% | +19% |
| Rubber, TSR20 | 2.55 $/kg | +5.8% | +49.1% |
| Rubber, RSS3 | 2.83 $/kg | +2.9% | +41.5% |
| Fertilizers | |||
| Phosphate rock | 170 $/mt | 0% | +11.5% |
| DAP | 803.1 $/mt | +0.3% | +6.5% |
| TSP | 692 $/mt | +0.3% | +5.1% |
| Urea | 420 $/mt | +3.1% | +6.5% |
| Potassium chloride | 357.5 $/mt | −2.7% | +1.6% |
| Metals and minerals | |||
| Aluminum | 3,061 $/mt | −6.8% | +9.6% |
| Iron ore, cfr spot | 90.8 $/dmtu | −7.1% | −12.3% |
| Copper | 14,508 $/mt | +0.2% | +35.1% |
| Lead | 1,860 $/mt | −0.7% | −5.5% |
| Tin | 51,696 $/mt | −3.8% | +43.6% |
| Nickel | 15,436 $/mt | −5.4% | +2.3% |
| Zinc | 3,818 $/mt | −5% | +21.1% |
| Precious metals | |||
| Gold | 4,105 $/troy oz | −5% | +1.2% |
| Platinum | 1,621 $/troy oz | −9.1% | +0.3% |
| Silver | 57 $/troy oz | −11.8% | +15.4% |
The record
Each card's score calls USDA's next revision of the country's crop: 50 or more “cut likely”, 30 to 49 “cut possible”, under 30 “no cut expected”. When USDA revises (grains, oilseeds and cotton every month, about the 10th; coffee and sugar twice a year), the last call before it is checked against what USDA did.
| Call | Calls | USDA cut | Raised | Unchanged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no cut expected | 403 | 30 | 32 | 341 |
| cut possible | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Sources
Crop figures: USDA FAS (PSD, Weekly Export Sales). Prices: World Bank Commodity Price Data (The Pink Sheet), CC BY 4.0. Hedge funds: CFTC Commitments of Traders. Weather: MET Norway (CC BY 4.0), normals from NASA POWER. Trade partners: CEPII BACI (Etalab Open Licence 2.0). Crop calendars after USDA FAS's; growing regions are the main ones of each main producer.
The same readings as data, free: GET /api/v1/commodities (and /map, /country/{code}, /prices, /weather, /scorecard).