Cottonseed oil
0· no cut expectedCropUSDA: 22,000 t in 2026/27, down 15.4% on last year
TradeExports 5,000 t, 8% of the world's
Commodity watch · updated Nov 13, 7:44 AM EST
Côte d'Ivoire: commodities
For every crop USDA forecasts and every country that matters for it: USDA's crop outlook, the weather forecast over the main growing regions at the crop's stage, trade, prices and hedge funds' bets, and how much our sources are saying about it. A plain score from 0 to 100 says how much the supply looks at risk, and when the risk is real but the news is quiet, the watch raises a flag. Now: 800 cards for 62 commodities, 5 flagged.
Cottonseed meal
0· no cut expectedCropUSDA: 69,000 t in 2026/27, down 16.9% on last year
TradeExports 60,000 t, 22% of the world's
WeatherNo weather risk in the next 10 days in the main growing regions
MarketCocoa $5.75/kg in October, down 2.9% on the month, down 3.4% on the year, the lowest since July 2026; hedge funds betting on lower prices (12,253 contracts net)
News19 reports in our sources in the last 14 days
- Ivoire Tech Forum 2026 : trois Ivoiriens présentent des solutions digitales pour moderniser l’agriculture locale
- Côte d’Ivoire AIP/ Campagne 2026-2027 : le Conseil du café-cacao sensibilise les producteurs aux nouvelles exigences de traçabilité à Kounahiri
- Cacao ivoirien : Dr TED Fonh-Gbéi appelle à protéger les enfants
WeatherNo weather risk in the next 10 days in the main growing regions
MarketTSR20 rubber $2.55/kg in October, up 5.8% on the month, up 49.1% on the year, the highest since March 2013
NewsNo reports in our sources in the last 14 days
Bought from the US
USDA's weekly export sales, the week to October 29, 2026: new sales less cancellations, and this marketing year's shipments.
| Commodity | This week | Shipped this year |
|---|---|---|
| wheat | 0 t | 0 ta year earlier 56,700 |
| beef | 0 t | 79 ta year earlier 0 |
Who buys its commodities
Its biggest commodity exports (farm, energy, metals) in 2024 and their main buyers, by value (CEPII BACI, January 2026 release, from UN trade statistics; Etalab Open Licence 2.0).
- Cocoa $8.8 billionNetherlands 25%, United States 10%, Fed. Rep. of Germany (...1990) 7.6%, Spain 7.4%
- Gold $5.9 billionSwitzerland 93%, South Africa 6.9%, United Arab Emirates 0.1%, United States 0%
- Natural rubber $2.7 billionChina 21%, Malaysia 12%, India 8.9%, United States 7.4%
- Crude oil $1.1 billionNetherlands 39%, Italy 11%, Brazil 9%, Canada 9%
- Palm oil $308 millionMali 25%, Burkina Faso 20%, Netherlands 9.9%, Morocco 9.4%
- Cotton $283 millionBangladesh 40%, Pakistan 30%, Vietnam 9.1%, India 5.4%
- Coffee $156 millionAlgeria 59%, Spain 16%, Italy 7.5%, Belgium-Luxembourg (...1998) 4.8%
- Urea $28 millionBurkina Faso 62%, Mali 38%, Liberia 0.1%, Angola 0%
- Palm kernel oil $28 millionItaly 36%, Morocco 16%, Spain 13%, Benin 8.8%
- Lead $9.2 millionPakistan 47%, Bulgaria 17%, Greece 12%, Spain 7.6%
Where its commodities come from
Its biggest commodity imports in 2024 and where they come from, by value.
- Crude oil $2.4 billionNigeria 88%, Colombia 12%, Belgium-Luxembourg (...1998) 0%, France 0%
- Rice $1.1 billionIndia 32%, Vietnam 31%, Thailand 17%, Pakistan 11%
- Sugar $281 millionBrazil 60%, Morocco 23%, Guatemala 6.8%, Belgium-Luxembourg (...1998) 3.3%
- Wheat $220 millionFrance 53%, Fed. Rep. of Germany (...1990) 12%, Poland 7.4%, Latvia 7%
- Cotton $122 millionBurkina Faso 100%, China 0.1%, Greece 0%, Belgium-Luxembourg (...1998) 0%
- Soybean meal $105 millionArgentina 75%, United States 13%, Nigeria 12%, Togo 0%
- Palm oil $94 millionMalaysia 53%, Indonesia 41%, Liberia 5.5%, Singapore 0.6%
- Urea $61 millionRussia 76%, Nigeria 13%, Finland 8.6%, Egypt 2.2%
- Whole milk powder $50 millionNew Zealand 41%, France 16%, Uruguay 14%, Argentina 9.3%
- DAP fertilizer $41 millionMorocco 97%, Finland 3.2%, Italy 0%
Prices, October 2026
The World Bank's monthly averages in US dollars (the Pink Sheet, updated November 3), against the month before and a year before. Licensed CC BY 4.0.
| Commodity | Price | Month | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Energy | |||
| Crude oil, average | 108.5 $/bbl | +6.1% | +72.2% |
| Crude oil, Brent | 125 $/bbl | +7% | +93.2% |
| Crude oil, Dubai | 102.7 $/bbl | +10.1% | +59.7% |
| Crude oil, WTI | 97.7 $/bbl | +0.8% | +62.3% |
| Coal, Australian | 152.3 $/mt | +3.5% | +41.7% |
| Coal, South African | 100 $/mt | +1.8% | +9.2% |
| Natural gas, US | 2.96 $/mmbtu | +0.3% | −7.5% |
| Natural gas, Europe | 28.5 $/mmbtu | +12.1% | +161.7% |
| Liquefied natural gas, Japan | 16.59 $/mmbtu | +2% | +49.5% |
| Natural gas index | 182.7 2010=100 | +8.9% | +86.2% |
| Beverages | |||
| Cocoa | 5.75 $/kg | −2.9% | −3.4% |
| Coffee, Arabica | 7.4 $/kg | +1.9% | −16.9% |
| Coffee, Robusta | 3.63 $/kg | −1.6% | −23.4% |
| Tea, avg 3 auctions | 2.88 $/kg | +0.7% | −4.3% |
| Tea, Colombo | 3.75 $/kg | +0.5% | −4.8% |
| Tea, Kolkata | 2.55 $/kg | +0.8% | −10.8% |
| Tea, Mombasa | 2.33 $/kg | +1.3% | +4.5% |
| Food | |||
| Coconut oil | 2,029 $/mt | −2.4% | −20.3% |
| Groundnuts | 1,600 $/mt | +2.4% | +33.3% |
| Fish meal | 2,840 $/mt | −2.6% | +60.5% |
| Groundnut oil | 1,850 $/mt | −0.5% | +13.6% |
| Palm oil | 1,120 $/mt | −5.1% | +7.9% |
| Palm kernel oil | 2,287 $/mt | −2.9% | +0.6% |
| Soybeans | 515 $/mt | −1.7% | +27.5% |
| Soybean oil | 1,546 $/mt | −4.3% | +36.6% |
| Soybean meal | 453 $/mt | +1.3% | +27.2% |
| Rapeseed oil | 1,405 $/mt | −2.6% | +11.2% |
| Sunflower oil | 1,413 $/mt | +1.4% | +3.7% |
| Barley | 80.4 $/mtAugust 2020 | — | — |
| Maize | 226.5 $/mt | −5.5% | +14.3% |
| Sorghum | 189.5 $/mtAugust 2020 | — | — |
| Rice, Thai 5% | 489 $/mt | +1.5% | +37.4% |
| Rice, Thai 25% | 472 $/mt | +2.4% | +34.5% |
| Rice, Thai A.1 | 467.4 $/mt | −1.2% | +39.1% |
| Rice, Viet Namese 5% | 413.9 $/mt | −1.1% | +13.2% |
| Wheat, US SRW | 260.3 $/mt | −6.6% | +24.4% |
| Wheat, US HRW | 317 $/mt | −8.6% | +37.3% |
| Banana, Europe | 1.1 $/kg | −1.8% | −2.7% |
| Banana, US | 1.18 $/kg | +5.4% | +4.4% |
| Orange | 0.75 $/kg | −5.1% | −28.6% |
| Beef | 6.83 $/kg | −0.4% | −3.7% |
| Chicken | 1.84 $/kg | +1.7% | +7% |
| Lamb | 7.48 $/kg | +3% | +18.2% |
| Shrimps, Mexican | 8.6 $/kgOctober 2023 | — | — |
| Sugar, EU | 0.37 $/kg | −2.6% | −2.6% |
| Sugar, US | 0.92 $/kg | +8.2% | +19.5% |
| Sugar, world | 0.43 $/kg | +4.9% | +26.5% |
| Raw materials | |||
| Tobacco, US import u.v. | 6,775 $/mtJuly 2026 | — | — |
| Logs, Cameroon | 392.1 $/cubic meter | −2.7% | −3.7% |
| Logs, Malaysian | 188.5 $/cubic meter | −0.9% | −4.1% |
| Sawnwood, Cameroon | 636.8 $/cubic meter | −0.9% | −0.5% |
| Sawnwood, Malaysian | 724.3 $/cubic meter | −1% | −0.5% |
| Plywood | 345.8 cents/sheet | −0.9% | −4.1% |
| Cotton, A Index | 2 $/kg | −4.8% | +19% |
| Rubber, TSR20 | 2.55 $/kg | +5.8% | +49.1% |
| Rubber, RSS3 | 2.83 $/kg | +2.9% | +41.5% |
| Fertilizers | |||
| Phosphate rock | 170 $/mt | 0% | +11.5% |
| DAP | 803.1 $/mt | +0.3% | +6.5% |
| TSP | 692 $/mt | +0.3% | +5.1% |
| Urea | 420 $/mt | +3.1% | +6.5% |
| Potassium chloride | 357.5 $/mt | −2.7% | +1.6% |
| Metals and minerals | |||
| Aluminum | 3,061 $/mt | −6.8% | +9.6% |
| Iron ore, cfr spot | 90.8 $/dmtu | −7.1% | −12.3% |
| Copper | 14,508 $/mt | +0.2% | +35.1% |
| Lead | 1,860 $/mt | −0.7% | −5.5% |
| Tin | 51,696 $/mt | −3.8% | +43.6% |
| Nickel | 15,436 $/mt | −5.4% | +2.3% |
| Zinc | 3,818 $/mt | −5% | +21.1% |
| Precious metals | |||
| Gold | 4,105 $/troy oz | −5% | +1.2% |
| Platinum | 1,621 $/troy oz | −9.1% | +0.3% |
| Silver | 57 $/troy oz | −11.8% | +15.4% |
The record
Each card's score calls USDA's next revision of the country's crop: 50 or more “cut likely”, 30 to 49 “cut possible”, under 30 “no cut expected”. When USDA revises (grains, oilseeds and cotton every month, about the 10th; coffee and sugar twice a year), the last call before it is checked against what USDA did.
| Call | Calls | USDA cut | Raised | Unchanged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no cut expected | 403 | 30 | 32 | 341 |
| cut possible | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Sources
Crop figures: USDA FAS (PSD, Weekly Export Sales). Prices: World Bank Commodity Price Data (The Pink Sheet), CC BY 4.0. Hedge funds: CFTC Commitments of Traders. Weather: MET Norway (CC BY 4.0), normals from NASA POWER. Trade partners: CEPII BACI (Etalab Open Licence 2.0). Crop calendars after USDA FAS's; growing regions are the main ones of each main producer.
The same readings as data, free: GET /api/v1/commodities (and /map, /country/{code}, /prices, /weather, /scorecard).